Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $23.1K·Volume $126.9K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$7,435 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$919
72h +$919
Smart money entered94¢97¢at 11:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy21h agoResolvesin 49d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$23.1K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $7,435 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$919, +$919 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $459 |
| 21h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $459 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $39 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $372 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,236 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,226 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $53 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $41 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $28 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $28 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | ponydsbMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,693 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1,598 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $24 |