Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $64.6K·Volume $1.3M·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$35.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$21.6K
72h +$50.8K
Smart money entered92¢100¢at 07:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$64.6K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $35.4K riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$21.6K, +$50.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,008 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,008 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,110 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,110 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $222 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,110 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $49 |
| 1h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $49 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,110 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $217 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $116 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $222 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $111 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $111 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $55 |
| 2h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $55 |
| 3h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $106 |
| 3h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $3,551 |
| 3h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $29 |
| 3h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $100 |
| 4h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $4,655 |
| 4h ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $2,042 |
| 4h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Sell | Yes | 0.1¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Sell | Yes | 0.1¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 1.6¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,942 |
| 10h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $88 |
| 10h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 10h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $16 |
| 10h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $766 |
| 10h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $16 |
| 10h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $651 |
| 10h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $651 |
| 11h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $343 |
| 11h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $343 |
| 13h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 1.1¢ | $4 |
| 13h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 1.1¢ | $4 |
| 13h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Sell | Yes | 3.0¢ | $14 |
| 13h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Sell | Yes | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.2¢ | $143 |
| 15h ago | 2HAEMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $999 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $29 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $29 |
| 16h ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $80 |