Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $3,273·Volume $32.5K·Ends Jan 21, 2027
Price now:Yes49%No51%
Smart money leans
No
52% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$456 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,183
Smart money entered40¢52¢at 06:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 71d(Jan 21, 2027)Liquidity$3,273
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $456 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 40¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $456 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,183 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $220 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $214 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 38¢ | $242 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 38¢ | $242 |