Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $47.9K·Volume $342.3K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$12.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered47¢100¢at 03:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$47.9K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $12.4K riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $4,274 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $298 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $398 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | No | 100¢ | $19 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $499 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $98 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $71 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $26 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $118 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $138 |
| 6d ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $381 |
| 6d ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $16 |
| 6d ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $470 |
| 6d ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $118 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $150 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $40 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $82 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $113 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 80¢ | $112 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 80¢ | $128 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $487 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $472 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $103 |