Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $5,512·Volume $15.8K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$392
72h +$2,044
Smart money entered54¢100¢at 22:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy19h agoResolvesin 5h 49m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$5,512
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$392, +$2,044 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $100 |
| 19h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $100 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $54 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $54 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $324 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $248 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $44 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $65 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $36 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $32 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $58 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $38 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $62 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $107 |
| 3d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 58¢ | $12 |
| 3d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $9 |