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Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

ActiveLiquidity $284.1K·Volume $8.8M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:44computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$10.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$250
72h +$703
Smart money entered2.8¢2.6¢at 18:44(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$284.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $10.1K riding on it.

The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 2.8¢; the price was 2.6¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $10.1K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$250, +$703 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:44
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$0
1h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$0
8h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$14
8h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$14
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$26
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$26
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$13
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$13
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$14
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$14
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$29
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$29
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$29
18h agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.6¢$29
2d agotunatylerTopBuyYes2.5¢$0
2d agotunatylerTopBuyYes2.5¢$220
2d agotunatylerTopBuyYes2.5¢$212
2d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$1
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
3d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$12
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$2
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$1
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$0
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$3
4d agolastminwinTopBuyYes2.4¢$3