Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $468.5K·Volume $18.8M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
Yes
2% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
2%price2%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$959 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered2.0¢2.3¢at Nov 10, 23:55(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$468.5K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $959 riding on it.
The price of 2% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 2.0¢; the price was 2.3¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $959 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:55