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Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

ActiveLiquidity $42.7K·Volume $465.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes92%No8%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:00computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$13.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,056
72h +$2,056
Smart money entered79¢93¢at 00:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$42.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $13.4K riding on it.

The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $13.4K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,056, +$2,056 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:00
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$169
3h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$348
3h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$348
3h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$169
7h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$327
7h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$327
13h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$65
13h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$65
15h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$12
15h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$12
15h agostupid22MidBuyYes90¢$149
21h agoxxNyxMidSellYes89¢$662
21h agoxxNyxMidSellYes89¢$37
21h agoCarMidSellNo11¢$123
21h agoCarMidSellNo11¢$123
21h agoxxNyxMidSellYes89¢$997
22h agoxxNyxMidSellYes89¢$78
1d agoCarMidSellNo13¢$90
1d agoCarMidSellNo13¢$90
1d agoCarMidBuyNo13¢$236
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes87¢$870
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes87¢$870
1d agoCarMidBuyNo13¢$236
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes89¢$11
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes89¢$11
1d agoUdonsanTopBuyYes89¢$287
1d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$98
1d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$98
1d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$475
1d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$475
1d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$131
1d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$131
2d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$978
2d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$582
2d agoCarMidSellYes88¢$582
3d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$870
3d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$105
3d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$435
3d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$261
3d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$1
3d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$57
3d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$2
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$466
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$535
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$461
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$26
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$33
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$2
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$0
4d agostupid22MidBuyYes87¢$0