Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
ActiveLiquidity $42.7K·Volume $465.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes92%No8%
Smart money leans
Yes
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$13.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,056
72h +$2,056
Smart money entered79¢93¢at 00:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$42.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $13.4K riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $13.4K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,056, +$2,056 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $169 |
| 3h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $348 |
| 3h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $348 |
| 3h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $169 |
| 7h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $327 |
| 7h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $327 |
| 13h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $65 |
| 13h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $65 |
| 15h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $12 |
| 15h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $12 |
| 15h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $149 |
| 21h ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $662 |
| 21h ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $37 |
| 21h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 11¢ | $123 |
| 21h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 11¢ | $123 |
| 21h ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $997 |
| 22h ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $78 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $236 |
| 1d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $870 |
| 1d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $870 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $236 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $287 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $475 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $475 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $131 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $131 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $978 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $582 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $582 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $870 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $105 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $435 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $261 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $57 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $466 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $535 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $461 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $26 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $33 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $0 |