Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $92.7K·Volume $949.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$15.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 11:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$92.7K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $15.3K riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $100 |
| 6d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $20 |