Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
ActiveLiquidity $19.1K·Volume $2.3M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,820 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered37¢95¢at 07:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$19.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,820 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 37¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,820 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10w ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $328 |
| 10w ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $41 |
| 10w ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $8 |
| 10w ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $116 |