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Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $656·Volume $63.9K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes29%No71%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:43computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$771 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$342
72h +$264
Smart money entered71¢73¢at 11:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$656
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $771 riding on it.

The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $771 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$342, +$264 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:43
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
15h agoviniiTopBuyNo64¢$150
15h agoviniiTopBuyNo64¢$150
1d agoviniiTopBuyYes31¢$33
3d agoviniiTopSellNo76¢$76
5d agoviniiTopBuyNo62¢$223
2w ago101456MidBuyNo76¢$642
3w agoviniiTopSellNo76¢$94
3w agoviniiTopSellNo77¢$230
3w agoviniiTopSellNo77¢$20
3w agoviniiTopSellNo77¢$159
3w agoviniiTopBuyYes16¢$162
3w agoviniiTopSellNo85¢$1
3w agoviniiTopBuyNo83¢$4
3w agoviniiTopBuyNo71¢$1,195
4w agoviniiTopSellNo75¢$481
4w agoviniiTopBuyNo69¢$438
4w agoviniiTopSellNo79¢$1,188
5w agoviniiTopBuyYes19¢$151
5w agoviniiTopBuyNo77¢$1,069
5w agoviniiTopBuyNo74¢$758
6w agoviniiTopSellNo75¢$509
6w agoviniiTopBuyNo74¢$18
6w agoviniiTopBuyNo59¢$387
6w agoviniiTopBuyNo53¢$190
6w agoviniiTopBuyNo50¢$226
7w agoviniiTopSellYes47¢$126
7w agoviniiTopBuyYes28¢$4
7w agoviniiTopBuyYes15¢$178
9w agoviniiTopSellNo84¢$528
9w agoviniiTopBuyYes14¢$61
9w agoviniiTopBuyNo77¢$831
11w agoviniiTopSellNo68¢$101
11w agoviniiTopSellNo81¢$45
11w agoviniiTopBuyNo58¢$82
11w agoviniiTopBuyNo51¢$9
11w agoviniiTopSellNo83¢$284
11w agoviniiTopBuyYes14¢$12
11w agoviniiTopBuyNo81¢$45
11w agoviniiTopBuyYes14¢$2
11w agoviniiTopBuyNo75¢$260
12w agoviniiTopBuyYes14¢$42
12w agoviniiTopBuyYes12¢$0
12w agoviniiTopBuyNo60¢$234