Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $656·Volume $63.9K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes29%No71%
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$771 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$342
72h +$264
Smart money entered71¢73¢at 11:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$656
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $771 riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $771 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$342, +$264 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15h ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 64¢ | $150 |
| 15h ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 64¢ | $150 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $33 |
| 3d ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 76¢ | $76 |
| 5d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $223 |
| 2w ago | 101456Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $642 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 76¢ | $94 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $230 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $159 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $162 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $1,195 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $481 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $438 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $1,188 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $151 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $1,069 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $758 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $509 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $18 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 59¢ | $387 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 53¢ | $190 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 50¢ | $226 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 47¢ | $126 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $178 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $528 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $61 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $831 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 68¢ | $101 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $45 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 58¢ | $82 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 51¢ | $9 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $284 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $12 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $45 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $2 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $260 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $42 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $0 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $234 |