Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $667.5K·Volume $7.1M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes17%No83%
Smart money leans
No
83% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
93%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
83%price83%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$79.2K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,227
Smart money entered86¢83¢at 18:10(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$667.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $79.2K riding on it.
The price of 83% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 83¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $79.2K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,227 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $41 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $413 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $210 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $162 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $407 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $409 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $41 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $123 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $1,235 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $210 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $413 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $123 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $409 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $41 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $41 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $162 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $407 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $1,235 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $38 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $4,583 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $309 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $341 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $2,985 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $54 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 82¢ | $243 |