Will Abdul El-Sayed be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $5,849·Volume $5,495·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
Yes
14% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
69%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
14%price14%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$588 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$634
72h +$933
Smart money entered14¢14¢at 02:55(55% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy17h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$5,849
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Yes", with $588 riding on it.
The price of 14% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 14¢; the price was 14¢ at this snapshot — roughly 55% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $588 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$634, +$933 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:55
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $339 |
| 17h ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $339 |
| 23h ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $7 |
| 23h ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $204 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $204 |
| 2d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $240 |