Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $54.5K·Volume $1.7M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
17
$81.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$12.0K
72h +$17.3K
Smart money entered86¢97¢at 01:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$54.5K
Explanation
17 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $81.5K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$12.0K, +$17.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $2,850 |
| 8h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $7 |
| 9h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 9h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $50 |
| 9h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $8 |
| 9h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $50 |
| 13h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $207 |
| 14h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $13 |
| 14h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $49 |
| 14h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 3.3¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $62 |
| 14h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $62 |
| 14h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 3.3¢ | $3 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $8 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $8 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $6 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $7 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $23 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $23 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $6 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $7 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $7 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $9 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $12 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $21 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $133 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $7 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $12 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $21 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $9 |
| 15h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $133 |
| 16h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 3.9¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 3.9¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 3.9¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | Paul973973Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $10,000 |
| 19h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | No | 3.5¢ | $7 |
| 23h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | No | 3.5¢ | $1 |
| 23h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | No | 3.5¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Sell | No | 3.5¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Sell | No | 3.5¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Sell | No | 3.5¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $366 |