Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
ActiveLiquidity $105.5K·Volume $2.1M·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
Yes
5% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
97%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
5%price5%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,802 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$690
72h +$635
Smart money entered3.9¢5.1¢at 06:33(21% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy22h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$105.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,802 riding on it.
The price of 5% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 3.9¢; the price was 5.1¢ at this snapshot — roughly 21% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,802 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$690, +$635 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $328 |
| 1d ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $328 |
| 1d ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.9¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.9¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.7¢ | $173 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $87 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 5.1¢ | $31 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 5.1¢ | $71 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 5.4¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.3¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $33 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $306 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $48 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.5¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.5¢ | $838 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,292 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.5¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.5¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $257 |
| 2w ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 3.8¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 3.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 3.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | randypuntMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $2,006 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $633 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 3.7¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.8¢ | $15 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.8¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 3.1¢ | $6 |