Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $102.6K·Volume $844.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes37%No63%
Smart money leans
Yes
37% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
37%price37%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$27.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$22.0K
72h +$22.7K
Smart money entered25¢37¢at 00:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$102.6K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $27.9K riding on it.
The price of 37% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 25¢; the price was 37¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$22.0K, +$22.7K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $613 |
| 1h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $63 |
| 1h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $123 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $65 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $36 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $53 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $83 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $126 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $202 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $313 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $3,238 |
| 6h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $1,381 |
| 7h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $1,381 |
| 7h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $6 |
| 8h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $64 |
| 9h ago | RhabarberbarbarbarMid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $1,199 |
| 9h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $1,860 |
| 9h ago | RhabarberbarbarbarMid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $3,448 |
| 9h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $2,010 |
| 9h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $2,040 |
| 10h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $490 |
| 10h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $14 |
| 10h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $14 |
| 10h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $17 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $70 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $70 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $44 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $44 |
| 11h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,289 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 11h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $1,980 |
| 20h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $347 |
| 20h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $347 |
| 21h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $990 |