Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $8,332·Volume $32.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$364 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$66
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 06:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$8,332
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $364 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $364 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$66 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $66 |
| 4d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $98 |