TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $47.6K·Volume $369.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes51%No49%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 22:14computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
46% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
46%price46%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$4,314 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered57¢46¢at 22:14(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$47.6K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,314 riding on it.

The price of 46% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 46¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $4,314 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 22:14
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4d agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyYes57¢$48
4d agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo44¢$68
5d agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo44¢$7
5d agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo46¢$63
5d agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyYes55¢$63
6d agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo40¢$47
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo37¢$53
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo32¢$22
1w agoklli27MidBuyNo34¢$17
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo35¢$19
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo39¢$21
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes50¢$47
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes50¢$5
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes50¢$1
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes50¢$2
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes50¢$2
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes49¢$23
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes49¢$28
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes49¢$5
2w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes48¢$1
3w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes48¢$35
3w agoklli27MidBuyNo45¢$40
3w agoklli27MidBuyNo45¢$29
3w agokaxel78MidBuyNo46¢$23
3w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo46¢$30
4w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes46¢$48
4w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes46¢$5
4w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes46¢$14
4w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes46¢$6
4w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes46¢$5
4w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes46¢$10
4w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes46¢$5
4w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo51¢$29
4w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo51¢$59
4w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo53¢$25
4w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo53¢$27
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes40¢$19
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes39¢$31
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes40¢$21
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes39¢$2
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes39¢$3
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes39¢$3
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes39¢$3
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes39¢$3
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes39¢$31
5w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo62¢$108
5w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo64¢$111
5w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo62¢$14
5w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo62¢$19
5w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo68¢$37