Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $48.7K·Volume $624.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$8,000 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered92¢98¢at 14:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4w agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$48.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,000 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $8,000 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $952 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $952 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $472 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $21 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $185 |
| 9w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $186 |
| 11w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |
| 11w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |
| 11w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $53 |
| 11w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $23 |
| 12w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $248 |
| 12w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $2,123 |
| 12w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $703 |
| 12w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $2,011 |