Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $26.3K·Volume $25.1K·Ends Dec 31, 2027
Price now:Yes33%No67%
Smart money leans
Yes
33% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
33%price33%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$467 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$651
Smart money entered37¢33¢at 12:52(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 416d(Dec 31, 2027)Liquidity$26.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $467 riding on it.
The price of 33% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 37¢; the price was 33¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $467 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$651 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 12:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $409 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $409 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $74 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $77 |
| 3w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $111 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Sell | Yes | 34¢ | $38 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $108 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $117 |
| 6w ago | aenews2Top | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $111 |
| 6w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $84 |
| 6w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $60 |
| 8w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $6 |
| 8w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $11 |