Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $135.5K·Ends Jan 4, 2027
Price now:Yes22%No78%
Smart money leans
Yes
23% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
23%price23%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$263 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered35¢23¢at 17:31(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 55d(Jan 4, 2027)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "Yes", with $263 riding on it.
The price of 23% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 35¢; the price was 23¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $263 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 72¢ | $1,005 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $22 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $360 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 71¢ | $355 |
| 9w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $295 |
| 9w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $58 |
| 9w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $23 |
| 12w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $418 |