Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $25.5K·Volume $187.2K·Ends Jan 5, 2027
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
96%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$18.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢91¢at 02:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 55d(Jan 5, 2027)Liquidity$25.5K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $18.9K riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.6¢ | $34 |
| 14h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.6¢ | $35 |
| 4d ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $2,757 |
| 4d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $984 |
| 4d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.6¢ | $119 |
| 1w ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $75 |
| 2w ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $2,013 |
| 2w ago | ponydsbMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $74 |
| 3w ago | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.3¢ | $80 |
| 6w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 2.7¢ | $7 |
| 9w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $4 |
| 9w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $35 |
| 11w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $89 |
| 11w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 11w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $2 |
| 12w ago | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $73 |