UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $31.7K·Volume $337.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,472 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$182
72h +$182
Smart money entered85¢91¢at 03:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy21h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$31.7K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,472 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$182, +$182 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 21h ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 5d ago | congoterrierMid | Sell | Yes | 7.6¢ | $109 |
| 5d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $910 |
| 6d ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $214 |
| 6d ago | Ditto321Top | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $30 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $518 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $472 |
| 8w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $2,410 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $2,336 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $20 |
| 12w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $63 |
| 12w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 77¢ | $387 |