Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $9,205·Volume $381.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes21%No79%
Smart money leans
No
79% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
90%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,859 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,476
72h +$3,476
Smart money entered89¢79¢at 11:43(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy12h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$9,205
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,859 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,859 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,476, +$3,476 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $68 |
| 10h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $46 |
| 10h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $112 |
| 10h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $150 |
| 11h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $314 |
| 11h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $314 |
| 12h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $2,024 |
| 12h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $2,024 |
| 17h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $117 |
| 17h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $140 |
| 19h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $65 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $150 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $150 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $216 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $12 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $53 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $18 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $67 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $12 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $111 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $19 |
| 5d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $840 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $48 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $33 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $48 |
| 5d ago | AllByMyseIfMid | Sell | No | 53¢ | $5 |