Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $45.4K·Volume $800.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$301 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered60¢97¢at 08:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$45.4K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $301 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $301 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $105 |
| 2w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $27 |
| 2w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $40 |
| 2w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $24 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $161 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $1,412 |
| 3w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $207 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $36 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $33 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $36 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $36 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $274 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $24 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $25 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $450 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $654 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $57 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $1,547 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1,305 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $152 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $646 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $100 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $3 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $17 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |