Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $75.8K·Volume $509.7K·Ends Oct 20, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,991 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered98¢98¢at 13:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesended(Oct 20, 2026)Liquidity$75.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,991 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,991 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $1,950 |
| 3w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $634 |
| 3w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,326 |
| 4w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,231 |
| 4w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $759 |
| 5w ago | mrworldwideTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $1,111 |
| 5w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $529 |
| 5w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $542 |
| 5w ago | mrworldwideTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $6,991 |
| 5w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $31 |
| 6w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $13 |
| 6w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $6,831 |