Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $122.9K·Volume $486.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$20.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 06:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$122.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $20.4K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9w ago | Diabolical-PrizeMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 12w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $797 |
| 12w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $58 |