Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $906.1K·Volume $12.4M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
Yes
5% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
5%price5%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$16.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered4.5¢5.3¢at 22:39(63% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$906.1K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $16.0K riding on it.
The price of 5% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 4.5¢; the price was 5.3¢ at this snapshot — roughly 63% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $241 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 3.4¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $12 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $93 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $17 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $884 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $42 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $33 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $967 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $97 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $145 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $10 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $23 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $10 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $76 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |