Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $5,687·Volume $131.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$276 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢90¢at 14:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$5,687
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $276 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $276 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $79 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $152 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $46 |