Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
ActiveLiquidity $34.6K·Volume $162.3K·Ends Nov 3, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$2,872 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$847
Smart money entered88¢100¢at 06:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 3, 2026)Liquidity$34.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,872 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$847 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $659 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $92 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $221 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,292 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $881 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $97 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $200 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $554 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $69 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $214 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $23 |
| 6d ago | RhabarberbarbarbarMid | Sell | Yes | 4.9¢ | $56 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $32 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | RhabarberbarbarbarMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | RhabarberbarbarbarMid | Buy | Yes | 2.2¢ | $92 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $47 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.7¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.7¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.7¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Sell | Yes | 2.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Sell | Yes | 2.0¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $105 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $338 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $338 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |