Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $19.5K·Volume $104.2K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
78%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$980 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 07:31Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$19.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $980 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $980 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $80 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $223 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $231 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $285 |
| 6d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $28 |
| 6d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $36 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 37¢ | $162 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 39¢ | $76 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 38¢ | $54 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 44¢ | $239 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 44¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $29 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | RLWGMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 46¢ | $45 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 47¢ | $46 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $41 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $94 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $86 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $277 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 45¢ | $270 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $57 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $179 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 46¢ | $212 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $94 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $44 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $3 |