Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $23.2K·Volume $121.4K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
91%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,870 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 07:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$23.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,870 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,870 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $494 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $50 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $271 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $974 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 6.7¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 6.4¢ | $13 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $14 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.3¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.3¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.3¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.3¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.3¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.9¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.9¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.9¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.9¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.3¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 2.8¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $58 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 49¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 48¢ | $24 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 50¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $62 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $195 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 42¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $66 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $224 |
| 1w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $170 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 46¢ | $135 |