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Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $15.9K·Volume $85.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:32computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$5,678 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢98¢at 07:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,678 riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5d agothoodrMidBuyNo97¢$2,913
6d agofbetMidSellNo96¢$255
1w agofbetMidSellNo96¢$2
1w agofbetMidSellNo96¢$7
1w agofbetMidSellNo96¢$6
1w agofbetMidSellNo96¢$107
2w agofbetMidSellNo96¢$85
5w agofbetMidBuyNo93¢$198
5w agothoodrMidBuyNo95¢$476
5w agofbetMidBuyNo94¢$254