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Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?

ActiveLiquidity $23.7K·Volume $24.8K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:59computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,597 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,675
72h +$1,675
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 06:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$23.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,597 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $3,597 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,675, +$1,675 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:59
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
15h agoCarMidBuyYes100¢$1,681
6d agothoodrMidBuyYes94¢$120
1w agoCarMidSellYes98¢$65
1w agoCarMidBuyYes95¢$789
1w agoCarMidBuyYes97¢$538
1w agoCarMidBuyYes96¢$533