Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,779·Volume $24.2K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,564
72h +$1,564
Smart money entered83¢100¢at 16:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy22h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$1,779
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,564, +$1,564 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $465 |
| 22h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $465 |
| 22h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $184 |
| 22h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $184 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $8 |