Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $453.8K·Volume $3.9M·Ends Dec 9, 2026
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
14
$375.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$534.0K
72h +$568.6K
Smart money entered95¢96¢at 07:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 29d(Dec 9, 2026)Liquidity$453.8K
Explanation
14 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $375.5K riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$534.0K, +$568.6K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,176 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,403 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,403 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $29 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $29 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7,441 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7,441 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $106 |
| 4h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $106 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $260 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $260 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $26 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $97 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $97 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $193 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $385 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $385 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $385 |
| 5h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $385 |
| 6h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,926 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $626 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $626 |
| 6h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $337 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $337 |
| 6h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $52 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $52 |
| 6h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |