Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $42.9K·Volume $70.1K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$3,343 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$425
72h -$219
Smart money entered35¢99¢at 02:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$42.9K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,343 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 35¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$425, -$219 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:27