Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $33.2K·Volume $53.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$5,713 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$176
72h +$3,705
Smart money entered94¢95¢at 21:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$33.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,713 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $5,713 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$176, +$3,705 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $87 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $87 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $3,528 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $40 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $45 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $65 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $115 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $135 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $47 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $86 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $69 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1,508 |