Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $131.2K·Volume $1.4M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$119.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$1,163
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 06:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$131.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $119.9K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$1,163 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $486 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $486 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $156 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $669 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $7,792 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,948 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4,403 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $781 |
| 2w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $844 |
| 2w ago | Siddhartha1Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $29 |
| 2w ago | Siddhartha1Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | Siddhartha1Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | Siddhartha1Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,897 |
| 3w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $51,969 |
| 5w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,140 |
| 8w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,665 |
| 8w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $693 |
| 8w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $211 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $78 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $3 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 4.3¢ | $5 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $15 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 4.3¢ | $86 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $5,798 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $256 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $40 |