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Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

ActiveLiquidity $43.5K·Volume $457.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes17%No83%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:32computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
16% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
57%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
16%price16%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$9,256 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$470
72h +$4,103
Smart money entered13¢16¢at 07:32(80% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$43.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Yes", with $9,256 riding on it.

The price of 16% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 13¢; the price was 16¢ at this snapshot — roughly 80% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$470, +$4,103 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$0
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$4
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$0
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$4
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$22
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$27
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$22
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$27
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$25
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$25
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$24
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$26
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$26
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$24
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$26
6h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$26
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes14¢$4
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes14¢$4
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$11
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$18
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$6
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$6
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$11
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$18
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$4
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$3
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$4
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$3
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes19¢$2
7h agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$194
7h agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$194
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo78¢$1,616
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo78¢$1,616
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo78¢$965
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes21¢$28
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes21¢$4
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$88
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$58
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes21¢$28
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes21¢$4
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$88
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$58
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$67
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$8
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$70
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$70
16h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$71
16h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$48
16h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$71
16h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$48