Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
ActiveLiquidity $43.5K·Volume $457.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes17%No83%
Smart money leans
Yes
16% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
57%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
16%price16%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$9,256 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$470
72h +$4,103
Smart money entered13¢16¢at 07:32(80% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$43.5K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Yes", with $9,256 riding on it.
The price of 16% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 13¢; the price was 16¢ at this snapshot — roughly 80% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$470, +$4,103 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $22 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $27 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $22 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $27 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $24 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $24 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $26 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $11 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $18 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $11 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $18 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $194 |
| 7h ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $194 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $1,616 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $1,616 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $965 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $28 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $4 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $88 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $58 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $28 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $4 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $88 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $58 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $67 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $8 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $70 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $70 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $71 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $48 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $71 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $48 |