Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $16.8K·Volume $387.9K·Ends Feb 1, 2027
Price now:Yes22%No79%
Smart money leans
Yes
22% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
22%price22%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,113 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$215
72h +$215
Smart money entered40¢22¢at 07:42(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy17h agoResolvesin 82d(Feb 1, 2027)Liquidity$16.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,113 riding on it.
The price of 22% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 40¢; the price was 22¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,113 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$215, +$215 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $60 |
| 17h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $91 |
| 17h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $14 |
| 17h ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $75 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $483 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $483 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $477 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $138 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $1,544 |
| 2w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $64 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $187 |
| 2w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $362 |
| 2w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $70 |
| 2w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $54 |
| 2w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $65 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $59 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $430 |
| 3w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $123 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $399 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $21 |
| 3w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 58¢ | $31 |
| 3w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $33 |
| 3w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $21 |
| 4w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $294 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $25 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $29 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $500 |
| 4w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 36¢ | $12 |
| 5w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $13 |
| 6w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $13 |
| 7w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $19 |
| 7w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 49¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $6 |
| 8w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $2,055 |
| 8w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $40 |
| 8w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $11 |
| 8w ago | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $46 |