Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $188.5K·Volume $9.2M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes3%No98%
Smart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$963 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.4¢2.5¢at 03:09(92% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$188.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $963 riding on it.
The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 1.4¢; the price was 2.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 92% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $963 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:09