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Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

ActiveLiquidity $188.5K·Volume $9.2M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes3%No98%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:09computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$963 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.4¢2.5¢at 03:09(92% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$188.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $963 riding on it.

The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 1.4¢; the price was 2.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 92% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $963 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:09
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5d agoBreezy-EntranceMidBuyYes1.6¢$360
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes1.2¢$8
6d agocongoterrierMidBuyYes1.6¢$83
6d agoancianoMidSellYes1.5¢$4
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes1.3¢$422
6d agocongoterrierMidBuyYes1.2¢$27
1w agoancianoMidSellYes1.1¢$2
1w agoancianoMidSellYes1.1¢$3
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$33
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
1w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$0
2w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopBuyYes0.4¢$0
2w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopSellYes0.6¢$32
2w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopBuyYes0.4¢$0
2w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopBuyYes0.4¢$0
2w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopBuyYes0.4¢$0
2w ago0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357TopBuyYes0.4¢$44
9w agoancianoMidBuyYes0.9¢$2
9w agoancianoMidSellYes1.1¢$0