Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $422.2K·Volume $13.0M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$37.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$26.8K
Smart money entered94¢94¢at 18:51(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$422.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $37.6K riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $37.6K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$26.8K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $118 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $9,390 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $3,868 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $9,390 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $118 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $3,868 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,199 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $9,420 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $435 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,063 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $947 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4,300 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $27 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $189 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,031 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $36 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $190 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $15 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $187 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $3,475 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,032 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $73 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $187 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $405 |