Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $38.6K·Volume $245.1K·Ends Apr 19, 2027
Price now:Yes17%No83%
Smart money leans
Yes
17% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
17%price17%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$420 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered14¢17¢at 07:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 159d(Apr 19, 2027)Liquidity$38.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $420 riding on it.
The price of 17% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 14¢; the price was 17¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $420 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.