Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
ActiveLiquidity $28.4K·Volume $396.4K·Ends Sep 7, 2026
Price now:Yes69%No31%
Smart money leans
Yes
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
67%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$7,696 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered66¢69¢at 11:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesended(Sep 7, 2026)Liquidity$28.4K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $7,696 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | Yes | 76¢ | $103 |
| 2w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | Yes | 76¢ | $2,629 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | No | 31¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | No | 31¢ | $76 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | No | 31¢ | $17 |
| 3w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $822 |
| 3w ago | seal7Top | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $470 |
| 3w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $2,600 |
| 4w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $87 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $47 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $188 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 18¢ | $270 |
| 4w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | Yes | 82¢ | $2,667 |
| 4w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $1,925 |
| 4w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $444 |
| 4w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $29 |
| 4w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $203 |
| 4w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 20¢ | $367 |
| 4w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 20¢ | $33 |
| 4w ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 21¢ | $420 |
| 4w ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 21¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $270 |
| 5w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $147 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 76¢ | $104 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 76¢ | $48 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $24 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $53 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $54 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $78 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $76 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $165 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $39 |
| 5w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $853 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $478 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $698 |
| 6w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $9 |
| 6w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $153 |
| 6w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $10 |
| 6w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $10 |
| 6w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $10 |