Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $257.4K·Volume $7.5M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No90%
Smart money leans
Yes
11% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
71%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
11%price11%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$2,182 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,776
Smart money entered11¢11¢at 17:13(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 50d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$257.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $2,182 riding on it.
The price of 11% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 11¢; the price was 11¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,776 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $330 |
| 14h ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $11,010 |
| 16h ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $870 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $2,610 |
| 16h ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $870 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $2,610 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $2,640 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $756 |
| 2d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $38,906 |
| 2d ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $2,101 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $459 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $459 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $8,099 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $270 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $182 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $182 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $55 |
| 3d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $136 |
| 3d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $300 |
| 3d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $300 |
| 4d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $2,610 |
| 6d ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $976 |
| 6d ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $33 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $538 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $2,300 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $885 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $529 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $2,645 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $1,018 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $75 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $142 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $41 |
| 1w ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1,820 |
| 1w ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $262 |
| 1w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $8,969 |
| 1w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 12¢ | $765 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $1,279 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |