Iran nuclear test before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $59.0K·Volume $314.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$8,943 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered94¢98¢at 12:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$59.0K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,943 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 12:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7,640 |
| 1w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $24 |
| 7w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $2,764 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 7w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $90 |
| 7w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 9w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 9w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $17 |