Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
ActiveLiquidity $350.6K·Volume $34.6M·Ends Oct 28, 2026
Price now:Yes24%No76%
Smart money leans
No
76% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
76%price76%model est.*
Smart wallets
31
$997.2K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,455
72h -$30.2K
Smart money entered66¢76¢at 06:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Oct 28, 2026)Liquidity$350.6K
Explanation
31 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $997.2K riding on it.
The price of 76% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 76¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,455, -$30.2K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $121 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $49 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $46 |
| 10h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $148 |
| 14h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $151 |
| 14h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $140 |
| 14h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $151 |
| 14h ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $131 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $13 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $24 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $13 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $24 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $15 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $165 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $126 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $15 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $165 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $126 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $166 |
| 17h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $166 |
| 22h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $150 |
| 22h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $152 |
| 22h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $150 |
| 22h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $152 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $73 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $73 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $172 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $131 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $131 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $171 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $171 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $250 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $251 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $50 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $247 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $44 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $169 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $169 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $143 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $143 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $161 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $363 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $8 |