Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
ActiveLiquidity $10.4K·Volume $587.3K·Ends Aug 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
74%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$583 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered69¢95¢at 04:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 263d(Aug 1, 2027)Liquidity$10.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $583 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $583 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | Mangy62Top | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $246 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $138 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $167 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $120 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $14 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $43 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $40 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $44 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $12 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $14 |
| 6w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $14 |
| 6w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $6 |
| 6w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $166 |
| 7w ago | Mangy62Top | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $24 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $9 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $30 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $120 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $345 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $15 |
| 7w ago | Mangy62Top | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $186 |
| 7w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $217 |
| 8w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $34 |
| 8w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $16 |
| 8w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $16 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $375 |
| 9w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 40¢ | $198 |
| 10w ago | Mangy62Top | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $430 |
| 10w ago | Mangy62Top | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $48 |
| 11w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $10 |
| 11w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $3 |
| 11w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 46¢ | $3 |
| 11w ago | Mangy62Top | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $10 |
| 11w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $58 |
| 11w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $176 |
| 12w ago | Mangy62Top | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $2 |
| 12w ago | Mangy62Top | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $8 |