Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
ActiveLiquidity $78.4K·Volume $678.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
No
87% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
68%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
87%price87%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$650 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,181
72h +$1,278
Smart money entered87¢87¢at 07:35Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$78.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $650 riding on it.
The price of 87% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 87¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,181, +$1,278 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $138 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $149 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $138 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $149 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $247 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 80¢ | $715 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 81¢ | $1,033 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $180 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 81¢ | $1,033 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $180 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $200 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $200 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $174 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $191 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $492 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $492 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $27 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $100 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $26 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $73 |
| 7h ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $18 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $88 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $89 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $179 |
| 7h ago | BunCaChamMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $500 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $180 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $180 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 8.6¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 8.6¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.8¢ | $8 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.8¢ | $8 |
| 10h ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $100 |
| 11h ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 4.7¢ | $5 |
| 11h ago | BunCaChamMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $133 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 6.1¢ | $12 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 6.1¢ | $12 |
| 11h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $2,809 |
| 11h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $2,809 |
| 11h ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 6.4¢ | $128 |
| 11h ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 6.6¢ | $56 |
| 11h ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 6.6¢ | $56 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $14 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $14 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $13 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $13 |